Tuesday, June 9, 2015
JD(U)-RJD-Cong alliance a challenge to BJP
It was the demand on the ground politically to form JD (U)-RJD- Congress alliance
to fight BJP-led NDA in the coming Bihar assembly elections. The alliance of the
three parties may have been formed out of compulsion and they have not come
together by heart, but to give a tough fight to the rising BJP in Bihar. Although
Nitish-Lalu-Congress pair has already shown its strength in the by elections for
some assembly seats last year in Bihar where it had defeated BJP-led NDA
convincingly, they have to repeat their performance in the whole state.
It is also the ground reality that no single party JD(U), RJD or Congress can stop
the victory chariot of Prime Minister Narendra Modi in Bihar assembly elections
alone. But when they fight together, they have the strength to defeat BJP. As far
as the state leadership is concerned, Chief Minister Nitish Kumar of JD(U) is the
most popular face in the state. BJP can not match JD(U)-RJD-Congress leadership of
Nitish Kumar. So it is most probably going to project PM Modi as its face in
assembly elections, though his popularity graph has undoubtedly fallen down after
one year in power. It is also the fact that the people on the ground have not felt
any change for better on any count in the last one year of Narendra Modi regime.
As far as the seat distribution among JD(U)-RJD-Congress is concerned, they can
settle it amicably. Congress has played a pivotal role in forming the alliance
with Nitish Kumar as its candidate for chief ministership with the sole motive to
stop the victory spree of BJP in Bihar after Delhi. RJD boss Lalu was initially
opposed to the declaration of CM candidate before election but the Congress
mounted pressure on him to toe the line otherwise he would be left alone in the
state as it had already announced of no reservation in fighting elections under
Nitish Kumar as CM candidate. Lalu read the writing on the wall and agreed to the
leadership of Nitish Kumar.
Nitish- Lalu-Congress coming together has also taken seriously the caste factor,
which is the single most important factor in Bihar elections. Caste-wise both RJD
and JD(U) have very strong grip on their vote banks. While JD(U) has votes among
Yadavs, Kurmis, OBCs, Mahadalits and others, RJD has very support of Yadavs and
Muslims. Though Congress has no strong vote base in the state, it has an important
role in tilting the balance. With BJP-led NDA on upswing after the Lok Sabha
history victory, the fight with JD(U)-RJD and Congress is going to be very close.
Bihar being an important state politically, BJP-led NDA would also put every
thing into it to come out victorious in the coming assembly elections. But the
performance of JD(U)-RJD-Congress fighting together in assembly by polls last year
is anything to go by, Bihar will prove to be a very tough task for PM Modi to
record victory in the coming assembly.
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